When Favorites Fall: What Recent Upsets Really Teach Us

The recent international season has been marked by several major upsets in Men’s and Women’s Singles, facts confirmed by official ITTF and World Table Tennis publications. These results are no longer exceptions: in my opinion, they illustrate a profound evolution in global table tennis. The gap between favorites and outsiders is narrowing considerably, and the mental dimension is becoming the decisive factor more and more often.

During the ITTF World Championships 2025 in Doha, several days of competition saw the unexpected elimination of top seeds. The ITTF itself labeled these moments as “stunning upsets” and “dramatic comebacks,” highlighting that even well-established players were put in difficulty by less expected opponents who were capable of maintaining their level during critical moments. These results deeply reshaped certain draws, forcefully reminding us that no match is won in advance at this level anymore.

The same phenomenon is observed on the World Table Tennis (WTT) circuit. At several recent Champions and Star Contender events, players ranked outside the top 10 eliminated favorites thanks to a very clear approach: aggressive play from the start, a simple tactical plan, and above all, remarkable emotional stability when pressure increased. In Women’s Singles, this trend is even more visible, with lower-profile players capable of staying consistent while the favorite, under pressure, starts to hesitate or change strategy.

What These Upsets Reveal on the Mental Level

By analyzing these surprise victories, a fundamental common thread emerges: outsiders rarely win because they play “above their level,” but because they remain true to their intentions under pressure. Here are three key factors I identify:

  • Score Management: In several matches reported by the ITTF, the turning point occurs when the outsider stays focused at 8-8 or 9-9, while the favorite begins to anticipate the consequences of a defeat.
    • Practical Application: It is crucial to regularly work on end-of-set scenarios with tight scores, evaluating not the raw result, but the quality and clarity of the decisions made by the player.
  • Tolerance for Error: Players who create surprises are often those who best accept an unforced error. They have the ability to move immediately to the next point.
    • Practical Application: I integrate sequences where an error must be followed automatically by an engaged point, without pause or comment, to train what I call the “mental rebound.”
  • Simplicity of the Game Plan: Winning outsiders almost always have a clear and limited plan (one or two strong intentions), whereas the favorite tends to get scattered tactically.
    • Practical Application: Before a decisive set, I ask the player to formulate a single primary intention and stick to it rigorously for 3 to 4 key points.

What This Changes for Us Coaches

These recent results confirm an unavoidable reality: technical superiority is no longer enough. The depth of the global level imposes on us, as coaches, the need to prepare athletes to perform within uncertainty, to manage the burden of being the favorite, and to remain emotionally stable when the match shifts.

Training a player today is not just about improving their shots, but helping them remain lucid when everything becomes unstable. The results observed on the international circuit are a powerful reminder: modern table tennis rewards those who know how to keep their mental clarity when the stakes rise.

Conclusion

In conclusion, these upsets are neither anecdotal nor accidental. They reflect a denser and more demanding global table tennis landscape, where victory belongs to those who know how to manage pressure, accept errors, and execute a simple plan in critical moments. For us, it is a clear opportunity to elevate the quality of mental training to the same standard as technical training.


References (Official Sources)

  • ITTF – Stellar comebacks and stunning upsets mark dramatic day at World Championships Finals Doha 2025 Link
  • ITTF – Singles action intensifies as top seeds face early exits in Doha Link
  • World Table Tennis – Official news from Champions and Star Contender events Link

Leave a comment